Iowa
not only is a serious obstacle for Christie and other Republican moderates, it
also suggests something more ominous: the Dixiecrats of old. Officially the
States’ Rights Democratic Party, they were breakaway Democrats whose primary
issue was racial segregation. In its cause, they ran their own presidential
candidate, Strom Thurmond, and almost cost Harry Truman the 1948 election. They
didn’t care. Their objective was not to win — although that would have been
nice — but to retain institutional, legal racism. They saw a way of life under
attack and they feared its loss.
Today’s
GOP is not racist, as Harry Belafonte alleged about the tea party, but it is
deeply troubled — about the expansion of government, about immigration, about
secularism, about the mainstreaming of what used to be the avant-garde. People
with conventional views must repress a gag reflex when considering the
mayor-elect of New York — a white man married to a black woman and with two
biracial children. (Should I mention that Bill de Blasio’s wife, Chirlane
McCray, used to be a lesbian?) This family represents the cultural changes that
have enveloped parts — but not all — of America. To cultural conservatives,
this doesn’t look like their country at all.
As with
the Dixiecrats, the fight is not over a particular program — although Obamacare
comes close — but about a tectonic shift of attitudes. I thank Dennis J.
Goldford, professor of politics and international relations at Drake University
in Des Moines, for leading me to a live performance on YouTube of Merle Haggard
singing “Are the Good Times Really Over.” This chestnut, a lament for a lost
America, has been viewed well more than 2million
times. It could be the tea party’s
anthem.
For all
his positions and religious beliefs, Christie is too Joisey for the tea party — too brash, as well. He would be wise to
steer clear of Iowa lest he lose or, worse, follow Romney and take on the
deeply conservative coloration of the state’s GOP. That might make him (barely)
acceptable to Republican Iowans but anathema to the rest of us.