Netanyahu and the End of Days. By Victor Davis Hanson.
Netanyahu and the End of Days. By Victor Davis Hanson. National Review Online, October 10, 2013. Also at Real Clear Politics.
Hanson:
So far,
Iranian president Hassan Rouhani’s peace ruse is still bearing some fruit.
President Obama was eager to talk with him at the United Nations — only to be
reportedly rebuffed, until Obama managed to phone him for the first
conversation between heads of state of the two countries since the Iranian
storming of the U.S. embassy in 1979.
Rouhani
has certainly wowed Western elites with his mellifluous voice, quiet demeanor,
and denials of wanting a bomb. The media, who ignore the circumstances of
Rouhani’s three-decade trajectory to power, gush that he is suddenly a
“moderate” and “Western-educated.”
The
implication is that Rouhani is not quite one of those hard-line Shiite
apocalyptic theocrats like Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who in the past ranted about
the eventual end to the Zionist entity.
Americans
are sick and tired of losing blood and treasure in the Middle East. We
understandably are desperate for almost any sign of Iranian outreach. Our
pundits assure us that either Iran does not need and thus does not want a bomb,
or that Iran at least could be contained if it got one.
No such
giddy reception was given to Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. In
comparison with Rouhani, he seemed grating to his U.N. audience in New York. A
crabby Netanyahu is now seen as the party pooper who barks in his raspy voice
that Rouhani is only buying time from the West until Iran can test a nuclear
bomb — that the Iranian leader is a duplicitous “wolf in sheep’s clothing.”
Why
does the unpleasant Netanyahu sound to us so unyielding, so dismissive of
Rouhani’s efforts at dialogue, so ready to start an unnecessary war? How can
the democracy that wants Iran not to have the bomb sound more trigger-happy
than the theocracy intent on getting it?
In
theory, it could be possible that Rouhani is a genuine pragmatist, eager to
open up Iran’s nuclear facilities for inspection to avoid a preemptory attack
and continuing crippling sanctions. But if the world’s only superpower can
afford to take that slim chance, Netanyahu really cannot. Nearly half the
world’s remaining Jews live in tiny Israel — a fact emphasized by the Iranian
theocrats, who have in the past purportedly characterized it as a “black stain”
upon the world.
After
World War II, the survivors of the Holocaust envisioned Israel as the
last-chance refuge for endangered Jews. Iranian extremists have turned that
idea upside down — when, for example, former president Hashemi Rafsanjani
purportedly said that “the use of even one nuclear bomb inside Israel will
destroy everything.”
Netanyahu
accepts that history’s lessons are not nice. The world, both ancient and
modern, is quite capable of snoozing as thousands perish, whether in Rwanda by
edged weapons; in Iraq when Saddam Hussein gassed the Kurds; or, most recently,
more than 100,000 in Syria.
Centuries
before nuclear weapons, entire peoples have sometimes perished in war without
much of a trace — or much afterthought. After the Third Punic War, Carthage —
its physical place , people, and language — was obliterated by Rome. The vast
Aztec Empire ceased to exist within two years of encountering Hernán Cortés.
Byzantine, Vandal, and Prussian are now mere descriptors; most have no idea
that they refer to defeated peoples and states that vanished.
The
pessimistic Netanyahu also remembers that there was mostly spineless outrage at
Hitler’s systematic harassment of Jews before the outbreak of World War II —
and impotence in the face of their extermination during the war. Within a
decade of the end of the Holocaust, anti-Semitism and hatred of Israel
throughout the Middle East had become almost a religion.
In the
modern age of thermonuclear weapons, the idea of eliminating an entire people
has never been more achievable. But collective morality does not often follow
the fast track of technological change. Any modern claim of a superior global
ethos, anchored in the United Nations, that might prevent such annihilation is
no more valid now than it was in 1941. Again, ask the Tutsis of Rwanda.
The
disastrous idea of a preemptory war to disarm Iran seems to us apocalyptic. But
then, we are a nation of 313 million, not 8 million; the winner of World War
II, not a people nearly wiped out by it; surrounded by two wide oceans, not 300
million hostile neighbors; and out of Iranian missile range, not well within
it. Reverse those comparisons and Obama might sound as neurotic as Netanyahu
would utopian.
We can
be wrong about Hassan Rouhani without lethal consequences. Netanyahu reviews
history and concludes that he has no such margin of error. That fact alone
allows us to sound high-minded and idealistic — and Israel suspicious and
cranky.