Political science says Syria’s civil war will probably last at least another decade. By Max Fisher. Washington Post, October 23, 2013. Also here.
Armed intervention and civilian victimization in intrastate conflicts. By Reed M. Wood, Jacob D. Kathman, and Stephen E. Gent. Journal of Peace Studies, Vol. 49, No. 5 (September 2012). Also here.
Veto Players and Civil War Duration. By David E. Cunningham. American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 50, No. 4 (October 2006).
The Critical Barrier to Civil War Settlement. By Barbara F. Walter. International Organization, Vol. 51, No. 3 (Summer 1997).
The Four Things We Know About How Civil Wars End (and What This Tells Us About Syria). By Barbara F. Walter. Political Violence at a Glance, October 18, 2013.
Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer Than Others. By James D. Fearon. Stanford University, July 12, 2002.
Civil war termination. By James D. Fearon and David D. Laitin. Stanford University, September 12, 2008.