The Value of Putin. By Victor Davis Hanson.
The Value of Putin. By Victor Davis Hanson. National Review Online, February 11, 2014.
Hanson:
Vladimir
Putin has the world’s attention this week. The circumstances will remind
everyone that reset with Russia is dead. Its working hypothesis — that it was
the George W. Bush administration, not the Putin regime, that had either
inadvertently or provocatively offended the other’s sensibilities — was
invented before the 2008 election on Obama’s partisan and political
considerations, not empirical observation.
Under
reset, the incoming Obama administration, more nuanced than the outgoing Bush
administration and drawing on more enlightened thinking, would appeal to the
better angels of Putin’s Russia. The more complex Obamaites would help
enlighten the Putin autocracy to the fact that the U.S. and Russia had common
interests in improving free trade. We really both wanted to calm world tensions
while discouraging proliferation, combating terrorism, working with the United
Nations, quelling international crises, and promoting human rights. Once
Russians had been tutored about America’s good intentions, we could undo
(“reset”) the damage done by the swaggering braggadocio of the interventionist
prior administration. Misunderstanding and ill feelings, not ill intentions and
malfeasance, were Russia’s sins.
And
what is the result of reset? It is open Russian promotion of the
Syria/Hezbollah/Iran axis that was active in Iraq and is now more so in Syria.
It is Russian obstruction at the U.N. of most American initiatives. It is
another round of strangulation of the former Soviet republics. It is
satisfaction that a frustrated United States has been reduced to appeasement
instead of taking serious steps to thwart Iranian nuclearization, as Putin eggs
Iran on. It is more pressure on Eastern Europeans to look to the East, not to
the West. It is humiliation of the European Union over Ukraine. It is more
internal oppression of a brutal sort. And it is a gratuitous delight in
exposing the Obama administration as sanctimonious and weak, while the U.S.
lectures Russia on human rights, as if its tepid moral remonstrations de facto
translate into shamed abidance. In sum, what the Obama administration is for,
Putin is mostly against.
All
that said, there is a value for us in Putin. I don’t mean the strange Pat
Buchanan–style admiration for Putin’s creepy reactionary social agenda and his
tirades about Western social decadence. Rather, I refer to Putin’s confidence
in his unabashedly thuggish means, the brutal fashion in which a modern state
so unapologetically embraces the premodern mind to go after its critics, be
they journalists or academics, or stifles free debate without worry over
Western censure. Putin is a mirror showing more than just what we should not
be.
We in
the West get into fiery debates over civil union versus gay marriage as the
appropriate legal means of recognizing homosexual unions, with all the
accompanying charges of insensitivity — without much notice of how the vast
majority of gays are treated elsewhere in the world. In contrast, Putin, mostly
to global silence, does nothing as his thugs with impunity terrorize gay
activists (who mostly demonstrate for basic freedom of speech, not marriage).
Miley Cyrus insults our sensibilities and becomes fabulously rich; the Pussy
Rioters go to jail.
We in
California divert life-saving water to save a baitfish; Putin’s $50 billion
Olympics may prove to be an ecological disaster. We worry about global warming;
Putin takes a subtropical resort and with enough crooked cash and smoky carbon
fuel fabricates sufficient unnatural snow for the Olympics — without calling up
Al Gore to see how many Amazon trees he needs to buy to win a carbon-offset
exemption. We worry about the victims of WMDs in Syria; Putin worries whether
the mass murderer Assad has enough sarin gas to do what he thinks necessary to
preserve power. Putin breaks missile agreements; we consult legal dictionaries
to ascertain whether he has. We try to convince Putin that our
anti-ballistic-missile plan for Eastern Europe is to protect only against Iran.
He knows it is. He also knows that we worry whether he knows it is intended
only for the Iranian threat. And so he says it isn’t. And, presto, it isn’t.
Americans
often talk grandly in melodramatic fashion of “speaking truth to power” —
mostly on silly issues about which liberals talk tough to moderates, usually in
the faculty lounge or at a Senate hearing, often before sharing cocktails
afterward. Putin speaks power to truth — an unpredictable, unapologetic brute
force of nature.
Again,
what is Putin? He is a constant reminder to the postmodern Western mind that
the human condition has not yet evolved beyond the fist. He is a bumper-sticker
example of Aristotle’s dictum that it is easy to be moral in your sleep, given
that verbiage without power is hardly moral or difficult. He is also a reminder
about what is important in the most elemental sense. As we debate former New
York mayor Michael Bloomberg’s remonstrances on oversized Cokes or Michelle
Obama’s advocacy of celery sticks, Putin has dogs shot down to spruce up the
Olympic grounds. We calibrate to the point of paralysis just how large a carbon
footprint the Keystone Pipeline may or may not have; Putin ignores the Arctic
tundra to enrich kleptomaniac Russian oligarchs and prop up his dysfunctional
state.
Bare-chested
Putin gallops his horses, poses with his tigers, and shoots his guns — what
Obama dismisses as “tough-guy schtick.” Perhaps. But Putin is almost saying,
“You have ten times the wealth and military power that I have, but I can
neutralize you by my demonic personality alone.” Barack Obama, in his
increasingly metrosexual golf get-ups and his prissy poses on the nation’s tony
golf courses, wants to stay cool while playing a leisure sport. It reminds us
of Stafford Cripps being played by Stalin during World War II. “Make no mistake
about it” and “Let me be perfectly clear” lose every time. Obama’s subordinates
violate the law by going after the communications of a Fox reporter’s parents;
Putin himself threatens to cut off the testicles of a rude journalist.
Putin
is a reminder not just of our dark past, where raw force, not morality,
adjudicated behavior, but, more worrisome, perhaps of a dark future as well, in
which we in the West will continually overthink, hyperagonize, and nuance to
death every idea, every issue, and every thought in terror that it might not be
100 percent fair, completely unbiased, absolutely justified. We will do
anything to have the good life above all else; Putin prefers the bad life on
his own terms.
Putin
dares us to enforce an old treaty, to stop his clients using poison gas, or to
prevent a lunatic regime from getting nukes. In our fearful hearts, we almost
sense that Putin might like us better, or at least show a greater measure of
respect, if we were to cut out the sermons and back up what we preach. Putin is
the evil hired gun, Jack Wilson (“Prove it!”), in the movie Shane, whose only
law is what he believes he can get away with. We are the Hamlet-like sodbusters
who one day are ready to pack up and leave, the next terrified lest we really
have to. We dream of having Shane stand up to the gunslinger Wilson, but then
again, we suspect that so does the psychopathic Wilson himself.
True,
Putin hated us for going into Iraq, but not just for going into Iraq. Rather,
he despised us for not quickly dealing with the insurgency and then for pulling
out abruptly once we did. He felt double-crossed about signing on to U.N.
sanctions in Libya, not just because we lied about the nature of those
resolutions and then exceeded them, but because we ended up being weak and
leaving Libya a mess without order. His problem with us in Syria was not just
that we issued a deadline, but that we could not even enforce it. For Putin,
being weak is worse than being wrong. Putin’s problem with the Tsarnaev bombing
was not that in furor we might send a Hellfire into his Caucasus, but that a
Caucasian terrorist would make a mockery of our jurisprudence.
With
such a coiled cobra it is always wiser to stay quiet and keep strong than to
speak loudly while appearing weak. One does not lecture a Stalin but rather
reminds him that you, unlike the pope, do have plenty of divisions.
You
see, Putin is the dark side come alive without apology in a self-congratulatory
age when he supposedly should not exist. That his economy is unsustainable,
that his corruption ruined the promise of a new Russia, that his oppression is
nihilistic, that we are mostly right, he usually wrong, bothers him not at all.
If
Putin has any utility at all, it is the faint suggestion that even he would
prefer — even believe that he himself might be better off — if we were more
resolute. Putin is almost Milton’s Satan — as if, in his seductive evil, he
yearns for clarity, perhaps even a smackdown, if not just for himself, for us
as well. He is not the better man than Obama but, again like Milton’s Satan,
the more interesting, if only because he reminds of us of our own limitations.
He ends
up existing to warn us in the West of what we are not, and to demonstrate that
in a strange sort of way our loud principles without toughness are not much
better than his toughness without principles. In that regard, he gives us a
valuable look into ourselves — we the hollow men, the stuffed men of dry voices
and whispers.
After
all, were not the Lotus-eaters nearly as dangerous as the Cyclopes, the
nonviolent Eloi almost as pitiful as the savage Morlocks? And is not the
triple-talking postmodern man often as empty as the premodern brute?