A Strategy to Counter Democracy’s Global Retreat. By Walter Russell Mead.
A Strategy to Counter Democracy’s Global Retreat. By Walter Russell Mead. Wall Street Journal, January 31, 2014.
Mead:
“It is the
policy of the United States to seek and support the growth of democratic
movements and institutions in every nation and culture, with the ultimate goal
of ending tyranny in our world.” So said President George W. Bush in his second
inaugural address in 2005. The goal was—and is—a noble one. Unfortunately,
neither Mr. Bush’s efforts nor those of his successor have met with the success
democracy advocates would wish.
In
Thailand, the streets are filled with demonstrators demanding the replacement
of an elected government with an appointed council. In Egypt, the largest and
most important Arab country, the 2011 revolution and much-ballyhooed “transition
to democracy” ended in a military coup. President Obama’s lead-from-behind
approach to Libya has ushered in anarchy, and Pakistan’s transition from one
democratically elected set of powerless and corrupt politicians to another,
widely cheered in Washington, has had no discernible positive impact on
anything whatsoever.
A
democratically elected government in Hungary is flirting with fascists.
Meantime, political reforms in Burma led to waves of religious violence against
that country's Muslim minority. And in Ukraine, protesters face off against a
corrupt, elected government aligned with Vladimir Putin.
According
to Freedom House’s 2014 Freedom in the World Report, 2013 was the eighth year
in a row in which freedom lost ground. Yet the decade of freedom’s retreat was
also a decade of unprecedented effort on the part of governments and nonprofit
organizations to help freedom thrive. Between 2006 and 2012, the U.S.
government alone spent $18.6 billion on democracy promotion, partly because of
stepped up efforts in Afghanistan and the Middle East. This is a substantially
higher rate of spending than during the post-Cold War years, when the former
Warsaw Pact states were moving toward democracy.
The
gloomy prospects for democratic self-government in many parts of the world
should not come as a surprise. Building democracy took generations in much of
the Atlantic world, and most revolutions didn't succeed in establishing stable
democratic regimes.
Some,
like the Hungarians’ in 1848 and again in 1956, failed to hold power and were
overthrown. Others, like the French and Russian Revolutions, gained power only
to install dictatorships worse than the ones they overthrew. The South American
revolutions against Spain, like many anti-colonial movements in the 20th
century, succeeded against the imperial power—but then failed to build stable,
democratic governments in its place. Egypt's transition didn't fail because
Egypt’s democrats didn’t attend enough conferences on democracy building. It
failed because the weight of their nation’s history, economics, religion and
culture was too heavy for the relative handful of true democrats to lift.
This
should be a sobering lesson. While breakthroughs can sometimes occur, the
construction of open, democratic systems in many countries around the world is
likely to be slower and harder than many of us thought.
This
doesn’t mean that democracy advocates should wring their hands and stand aside,
but it does mean we need to think about promoting deeper social change over
longer periods. To become and remain democratic, countries need to develop cultural
values hospitable to the rule of law, protection of private property,
transparency and peaceful transitions of power that are grounded in their own
religious and cultural identities. That is not, ultimately, a process that
foreigners can orchestrate or control.
A more
sustainable and effective democracy agenda would start with education. Helping
talented young people get access to good education will, over time, do more to
promote democratic ideals than anything else. This doesn't just mean offering
more students more opportunities to study abroad. Many countries, like Egypt,
have terrible postsecondary systems. Founding new schools, helping existing
ones, and promoting partnerships between Western and foreign institutions can
go a long way.
In many
countries, the lack of access to good English-language instruction at an early
age is one of the great barriers that struggling families face. Teaching
English to large numbers of people from poor backgrounds is ultimately a
political act: As their language skills help them get better educations and
better jobs, internal pressure for a fairer society will increase.
At the
same time, democracy advocates can address one of the biggest fault lines in
our allegedly flat world: People who don’t read English or a handful of other
languages live in a different information universe. John Locke, Edmund Burke,
Thomas Macaulay, Montesquieu, Thomas Paine, Adam Smith, Benjamin Franklin —the
works of these thinkers need to be well-translated and widely available. People
who read only Urdu, Burmese, Arabic or Punjabi need readily accessible editions
(cheap print or Web-based) of important books in their own languages so that
people beyond elite circles have access to the ideas and the histories that
matter.
Smart
people from different cultural backgrounds should be commissioned to write
introductions and other materials that can give readers in nondemocratic
countries the context they need to make sense of these crucial texts. Others
should write books about how South Korea, Taiwan, Poland and other countries
became democratic. And leading magazines, opinion journals and policy reports
should be translated into languages where they can be more widely read. English
may be the world’s lingua franca, but democracy building will be grueling in
many countries until more people have the ability to follow global news and
policy debates in their native tongues.
We
cannot change the reality that the creation of stable democratic societies in
much of the world is going to take time. It took Christian theologians hundreds
of years to reconcile democratic and liberal ideas with traditional Christian
thought; for Muslims, too, this could be the work of decades or generations.
The
U.S. cannot control the pace of this change. What it can do is to ensure that
as many people as possible have unfettered access to the rich historical and
intellectual literature that advocates freedom. “Give us the tools and we will
finish the job” is what Winston Churchill said to American democrats during the
dark days of World War II. Let’s make it easier for people around the world to
inform themselves about the nature of freedom and the history of its emergence.
They will figure out the rest.