Would You Rather Win with Chris Christie or Lose with Ted Cruz? By Bernard Goldberg.
Honest: Would You Rather Win with Chris Christie or Lose with Ted Cruz? By Bernard Goldberg. BernardGoldberg.com, November 10, 2013.
Goldberg:
Those
sophisticates at Time magazine made a
funny. They put Chris Christie on their cover with the headline, “The Elephant
in the Room.” Get it? Elephant. Christie. Time
magazine did a junior high fat joke right there on its cover. Time’s executive
editor Michael Duffy explained the cheap shot this way: “Well, he’s obviously a
big guy. He’s obviously a big Republican.
But he’s also done a really huge thing here this week.”
The
“huge thing” wasn’t only winning re-election as New Jersey’s governor, but
doing it by appealing to a broad range of voters in a very blue state – not
just to his conservative base.
But,
hey, no harm no foul. Time isn’t even
a newsmagazine anymore. It became a liberal journal of opinion a long time ago.
So you can just hear those wild and crazy journalists at Time sitting around the conference room table giggling about how
they’d get away with their fat joke because, well, in the world of politics, the
word “elephant” isn’t a synonym with “fatso.”
But do
you think the gang at Time would ever
say Barack Obama is a “dark horse.” In the world of politics “dark” doesn’t
mean “black,” right?
Time’s cover doesn’t necessarily
mean that Chris Christie is the GOP frontrunner for 2016. It’s way too early
for that. But it does help make him the flavor of the month. He was also on all
the Sunday TV talk shows this week. You don’t get to do that unless you’re the
flavor of the month, or at least of the week.
Besides,
he’s a favorite of liberal journalists, not only because he’s got a big mouth
which makes for some interesting quotes, but also because he’s not the most
conservative Republican out there. For the same reasons they despise Ted Cruz,
they adore Chris Christie. For now.
But if
he becomes a serious threat to one of their all-time favs, Hillary Clinton, the
so-called mainstream media will turn on Christie with a vengeance. They hated
Goldwater and Reagan while they were alive, painting them as crazy right-wing
ideologues. When they were dead, they became good conservatives – to contrast
them with every other conservative who was still breathing.
It’s a
good bet Christie will run. And if he does, he’s charismatic enough to cause
the Democrats some sleepless nights. But Christie’s greatest strength is also
his greatest weakness.
Christie
can win in a deep blue state like New Jersey because he’s not a hard right Tea
Party type. That means he can win the support of women and minorities – crucial
to winning a nationwide election. But the hard right sees him as the latest
incarnation of John McCain and Mitt Romney – two moderates who lost.
Chris
Christie can attract moderates and independents that would give him a shot in
swing states that Republicans must win to take the White House. He could win
Florida and Ohio and North Carolina and Colorado and New Hampshire, and maybe
even Iowa and New Mexico. But he might not be able to win his party’s
nomination because it’s conservatives who make up the majority of primary
voters, and they – at least as of now – don’t want a Chris Christie. They want
a Ted Cruz or a Rand Paul or some other candidate who can’t win a national
election despite what they think.
What
the hard right needs to understand is that if they really want change, first
they have to win elections. I know it sounds obvious, but it’s one of those
obvious facts the Tea Party never seemed able to grasp. They picked a bad
candidate in Nevada a few years back when a good candidate might have defeated
Harry Reid. And they picked a candidate in Delaware who had to go on TV and
tell everyone that she’s not a witch. She also lost. And there have been other
Tea Party favorites who appealed to the hard right base, but because that’s
never enough, they also lost.
The Tea
Party folks are very proud of the fact that they stand on principle. Bulletin: so
do less hardline Republicans. But the hard right calls everyone to the left of
Ted Cruz a RINO, a Republican in name only. The Tea Party won’t like this, but
the real RINOs are the Tea Party people. They’ve been very clear that their
allegiance is to pure conservatism, not to the Republican Party. Yes, my right
wing friends, Ted Cruz and Rand Paul and the others on the far right are the
real RINOs.
Because
I want Republicans to win, let me offer two pieces of advice. The first to
Chris Christie:
Don’t
pick a fight with your own base, the conservatives who at the moment don’t
really like you. As Ross Douthat puts in his New York Times column: “As a would-be nominee, you have to woo base
voters, not run against them, and make them feel respected even when they
disagree with you. This doesn’t mean muzzling yourself, or pandering to every
right-wing interest group. But it means persuading conservatives that you like
them, that you understand them and that as president you’re going to be
(mostly) on their side.”
In
other words, fight the temptation to go along with liberal journalists who
believe the GOP is a party of right-wing morons. Don’t get drawn in by their
phony admiration for you.
The
second piece of advice is for the Tea Party and other purists on the right. If
it looks like Chris Christie can win, jump on his bandwagon. Give him your
support. And do you best to be passionate about it. If you don’t, you’ll have
up to eight years of Mrs. Clinton. No matter how you feel about Christie, he’s
a lot better than another liberal Democrat, right?
The
answer to that last question is obviously yes. But true believers sometimes
don’t think rationally. I’m cautiously optimistic that Chris Christie could win
in 2016 (although cautiously hopeful
may come closer to my real feelings). But I’m pessimistic about his chances of
winning the support of his own party. Fundamentalists – political, religious or
any other kind – don’t like to bend. Sometimes I think they’d rather lose than
compromise. Rush Limbaugh, after all, can barely get the word “compromise” out
of his mouth without gagging. To him, compromise is caving in. He’s a lot like
Barrack Obama in that respect.
And so
the real elephants in the room are those purist conservatives who will have to
decide how badly they want to win. It’s still early, but I fear too many of
them would rather lose with Ted Cruz than win with Chris Christie.
Bernie Goldberg to O’Reilly: Tea Partiers Are the Real RINOs in the GOP. By Josh Feldman. Mediaite, November 11, 2013.
Bernie on the Tea Party and Chris Christie. Video. GoldbergCommentary, November 11, 2013. YouTube.