The American Dream is Not Dead. By Rush Limbaugh. RushLimbaugh.com, August 29, 2013.
Minimum Wage: How Much is Too Much? By Rush Limbaugh. RushLimbaugh.com, August 29, 2013.
Thursday, August 29, 2013
What Camus Understood About the Middle East. By Paul Berman.
What Camus Understood About the Middle East. By Paul Berman. The New Republic, August 12, 2013.
The Colonist of Good Will: On Albert Camus. By Thomas Meaney. The Nation, August 27, 2013.
The Colonist of Good Will: On Albert Camus. By Thomas Meaney. The Nation, August 27, 2013.
The Israeli Spring. By Victor Davis Hanson.
The Israeli Spring. By Victor Davis Hanson. National Review Online, August 29, 2013.
The unlikely winner of the Arab revolutions happens to be Israel. By Dominique Moisi. The Daily Star (Lebanon), August 26, 2013.
Hanson:
Israel could be forgiven for having a siege mentality — given that at any moment, old frontline enemies Syria and Egypt might spill their violence over common borders.
The
Arab Spring has thrown Israel’s once-predictable adversaries into the chaotic
state of a Sudan or Somalia. The old understandings between Jerusalem and the
Assad and Mubarak kleptocracies seem in limbo.
Yet
these tragic Arab revolutions swirling around Israel are paradoxically aiding
it, both strategically and politically — well beyond just the erosion of
conventional Arab military strength.
In
terms of realpolitik, anti-Israeli authoritarians are fighting to the death
against anti-Israeli insurgents and terrorists. Each is doing more damage to
the other than Israel ever could — and in an unprecedented, grotesque fashion.
Who now is gassing Arab innocents? Shooting Arab civilians in the streets?
Rounding up and executing Arab civilians? Blowing up Arab houses? Answer:
either Arab dictators or radical Islamists.
The old
nexus of radical Islamic terror of the last three decades is unraveling. With a
wink and a nod, Arab dictatorships routinely subsidized Islamic terrorists to
divert popular anger away from their own failures to the West or Israel. In the
deal, terrorists got money and sanctuary. The Arab Street blamed others for
their own government-inflicted miseries. And thieving authoritarians posed as
Islam’s popular champions.
But
now, terrorists have turned on their dictator sponsors. And even the most
ardent Middle East conspiracy theorists are having troubling blaming the United
States and Israel.
Secretary
of State John Kerry is still beating last century’s dead horse of a
“comprehensive Middle East peace.” But does Kerry’s calcified diplomacy really
assume that a peace agreement involving Israel would stop the ethnic cleansing
of Egypt’s Coptic Christians? Does Israel have anything to do with Assad’s
alleged gassing of his own people?
There
are other losers as well. Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan wanted to
turn a once-secular Turkish democracy into a neo-Ottoman Islamist sultanate,
with grand dreams of eastern-Mediterranean hegemony. His selling point to
former Ottoman Arab subjects was often a virulent anti-Semitism. Suddenly,
Turkey became one of Israel’s worst enemies and the Obama administration’s best
friends.
Yet if
Erdogan has charmed President Obama, he has alienated almost everyone in the
Middle East. Islamists such as former Egyptian president Mohamed Morsi felt
that Erdogan was a fickle and opportunistic conniver. The Gulf monarchies
believed that he was a troublemaker who wanted to supplant their influence.
Neither the Europeans nor the Russians trust him. The result is that Erdogan’s
loud anti-Israeli foreign policy is increasingly irrelevant.
The
oil-rich sheikhdoms of the Persian Gulf once funded terrorists on the West
Bank, but they are now fueling the secular military in Egypt. In Syria they are
searching to find some third alternative to Assad’s Alawite regime and its
al-Qaeda enemies. For the moment, oddly, the Middle East foreign policy of
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the other oil monarchies dovetails with Israel’s:
Predictable Sunni-Arab nationalism is preferable to one-vote, one-time Islamist
radicals.
Israel
no doubt prefers that the Arab world liberalize and embrace constitutional
government. Yet the current bloodletting lends credence to Israel’s ancient
complaints that it never had a constitutional or lawful partner in peace
negotiations.
In
Egypt, Hosni Mubarak’s corrupt dictatorship is gone. His radical Muslim
Brotherhood successors were worse and are also gone. The military dictatorship
that followed both is no more legitimate than either. In these cycles of
revolution, the one common denominator is an absence of constitutional
government.
In
Syria, there never was a moderate middle. Take your pick between the murderous
Shiite-backed Assad dictatorship or radical Sunni Islamists. In Libya, the
choice degenerated to Moammar Qaddafi’s unhinged dictatorship or the tribal militias
that overthrew it. Let us hope that one day westernized moderate democracy
might prevail. But that moment seems a long way off.
What do
the Egyptian military, the French in Mali, Americans at home, the Russians, the
Gulf monarchies, persecuted Middle Eastern Christians, and the reformers of the
Arab Spring all have in common? Like Israel, they are all fighting
Islamic-inspired fanaticism. And most of them, like Israel, are opposed to the
idea of a nuclear Iran.
In
comparison with the ruined economies of the Arab Spring — tourism shattered,
exports nonexistent, and billions of dollars in infrastructure lost through
unending violence — Israel is an atoll of prosperity and stability. Factor in
its recent huge gas and oil finds in the eastern Mediterranean, and it may soon
become another Kuwait or Qatar, but with a real economy beyond its booming
petroleum exports.
Israel
had nothing to do with either the Arab Spring or its failure. The irony is that
surviving embarrassed Arab regimes now share the same concerns with the
Israelis. In short, the more violent and chaotic the Middle East becomes, the
more secure and exceptional Israel appears.
Moisi:
The war in Iraq – which led in 2003 to the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime – had one clear winner: Iran. The United States-led military intervention resulted in the weakening of the Middle East’s Sunni regimes, America’s traditional allies, and the strengthening of America’s principal foe in the region, the Islamic Republic. Ten years later, we may be witnessing yet another ironic outcome in the region: At least for the time being, Israel seems to be the only clear winner of the “Arab Spring” revolutions.
Most
Israelis would strongly object to this interpretation. Their regional
environment has become much more unstable and unpredictable. Only recently,
Israel’s Iron Dome missile-defense system intercepted a rocket fired from Sinai
that was aimed at the port of Eilat, while Thursday, several rockets were fired
on northern Israel from Lebanon.
In
contrast to the past, no Israeli border is now secure, especially the long
frontier with Egypt. No implicit alliance can be taken for granted. All
scenarios are open. Can Israel remain an oasis of stability, security,
modernity, and economic growth in such a volatile environment?
The
answer, of course, is no. Israel may be tempted to regard itself as some kind
of latter-day Noah’s ark, but it is not. Tel Aviv has become a cross between
San Francisco, Singapore, and Sao Paulo, but it is still less than 300
kilometers from Damascus. For the pessimists (or realists, depending on your
perspective), Israel must remain on maximum alert to minimize the risks that it
faces.
Above
all, many Israelis (if not most) believe that this is no time to be imaginative
and daring. The resumption of the peace process with the Palestinian Authority
can be only a fig leaf. Israel simply cannot ignore the Americans in the way
that the Egyptian army has as it has massacred its Islamist opponents.
But a
very different reading of the current situation is possible. What started as a
revolution, in the 18th-century meaning of the term, is becoming a reproduction
of the religious wars that ravaged Europe from 1524 to 1648, pitting Catholics
and Protestants against each other in the same way that Sunnis and Shiites are
pitted against each other today. (In Egypt, however, we are seeing simply the
return of a military police state.)
One may
disagree with this Euro-centric interpretation, but what is clear is that the
Muslim Middle East will be too preoccupied with internecine struggle to worry
about the Palestinians or the existence of Israel. War with Jews or Christians
has necessarily taken a back seat (except where, as in Egypt and Syria,
Christian minorities are perceived to be allied with the regime).
In some
cases, there is explicit cooperation with Israel. Because it is fighting for
its own survival in a highly challenging environment, the Jordanian regime
needs Israel’s security collaboration. Indeed, Israeli and Jordanian forces are
now working together to secure their respective borders against infiltration by
jihadists from Iraq or Syria, while Egypt and Israel now share the same objective
in Sinai.
So the
paradox of the Arab revolutions is that they have contributed to Israel’s
integration as a strategic partner (for some countries) in the region. At this
point, more Arab lives have been lost in Syria’s civil war than in all of the
Arab-Israeli wars combined.
Of
course, one should not draw the wrong conclusions from this. Israel may have
become, more than ever, a key strategic partner for some Arab regimes, or a de
facto ally against Iran (as it is for Saudi Arabia). But that does not imply
that Israel’s neighbors have resigned themselves, in emotional terms, to its
continued existence in their midst.
Nor
does it mean that Israel can do whatever it wants, whenever and wherever it
wants. On the contrary, the Israeli government should not use the region’s
turmoil as justification for doing nothing to resolve the conflict with the
Palestinians. Current conditions, though admittedly confusing, can be seen as
opening a window of opportunity – a moment to consider making serious
sacrifices for the sake of long-term survival.
Israel
should be addressing the Arab world in the following terms: “You may not like
me, and you may never like me, but I am not – and never should have been – your
first concern. Now it is clear that you have other priorities to worry about.”
The
Arab quagmire may not be creating conditions for peace and reconciliation
between Israelis and Palestinians. But it has turned the “strategic truce”
favored by many Arab leaders into the only conceivable alternative. Arabs
cannot be at war with themselves and with Israel at the same time.
The
chaotic events unfolding in the Middle East will – and should – change the
approach and perceptions of the protagonists. Short-term considerations will
not suffice. Israeli leaders must adjust their long-term strategic thinking to
the new Middle East that ultimately emerges from the current disarray.
That
means not exploiting today’s opportunity to build more settlements on
Palestinian land, or to expand existing ones, as Benjamin Netanyahu’s government
appears determined to do. Israel may well be the current winner in the Arab
Spring; but, if it is wise, it will leave the spoils of victory on the ground.
The unlikely winner of the Arab revolutions happens to be Israel. By Dominique Moisi. The Daily Star (Lebanon), August 26, 2013.
Hanson:
Israel could be forgiven for having a siege mentality — given that at any moment, old frontline enemies Syria and Egypt might spill their violence over common borders.
Moisi:
The war in Iraq – which led in 2003 to the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime – had one clear winner: Iran. The United States-led military intervention resulted in the weakening of the Middle East’s Sunni regimes, America’s traditional allies, and the strengthening of America’s principal foe in the region, the Islamic Republic. Ten years later, we may be witnessing yet another ironic outcome in the region: At least for the time being, Israel seems to be the only clear winner of the “Arab Spring” revolutions.
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