Monday, July 8, 2013

Obama’s Middle East Policy Making Skeptics of Believers. By Walter Russell Mead.

Obama’s Middle East Policy Making Skeptics of Believers. By Walter Russell Mead. Via Meadia, July 8, 2013.

Mead:

The Washington Post is following the lead of the NYT’s bleak new take on the White House’s Middle East policy. As Libya seethes, Egypt crashes, and Syria burns, fewer and fewer of the President’s erstwhile disciples in the media understand his administration’s continuing fixation on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The WaPo editorial board writes:
The intense focus of Secretary of State John F. Kerry on the long-moribund Israeli-Palestinian peace process when neighboring Egypt is collapsing into chaos and Syria’s civil war rages unabated provokes more than a little head-scratching among diplomats from the Middle East. What, they ask us, could possibly possess Mr. Kerry to so intently pursue such an unpromising initiative, even as the United States refuses to exert leadership on crises of paramount importance to the region? […]
Like previous failed U.S. initiatives, Mr. Kerry’s diplomacy ignores the powerful Hamas movement, which controls the Gaza Strip, opposes a peace deal and is capable of disrupting negotiations at any time by resuming missile attacks against Israel. Mr. Kerry banks on the support of Arab states, but two of Israel’s Arab neighbors have no functioning government, while the other two — Jordan and Lebanon — have been all but overwhelmed by the spillover of refugees and fighting from Syria.
The MSM’s newfound skeptics may have some more meat to chew on this week, as Secretary Kerry reportedly plans to return to Jerusalem and Ramallah for talks—his sixth visit to the region in three months. More interestingly, Haaretz reports on some details in the Secretary’s plan:
The London-based Arabic-language daily Al-Hayat reported on Saturday that Kerry has formulated a plan to renew talks whereby Israel would freeze construction outside the major settlement blocs, release 103 Palestinian prisoners within six months, advance Palestinian economic projects in Area C of the West Bank (the area under full Israeli civilian and security control), and that the talks would be based on the 1967 borders.
One Palestinian official gave an insight into how well this might play among the Palestinian brass:
A Palestinian official told Haaretz that, even if the plan has been correctly reported, this does not mean the Palestinians will accept it as is. The Palestinians particularly object to recognition of Israel as a Jewish state, and to a construction freeze only outside the large settlement blocs, the official said.
There are some understandable and even commendable reasons for maintaining the peace process as a priority in US Middle East policy. And the Middle East is a place where surprises can happen. But we hope the White House is paying attention: Even some of its staunchest fans don’t see much logic in the current policy mix.